Dallas Is A Good Bet To Miss The 2022 NFL Playoffs

It’s time we all stop hanging around the truth about the Dallas Cowboys. They are going down quickly.

This troubling trend continued on Thursday when Tyrone Smith was disqualified for at least several months due to an avulsion fracture in his knee. His absence adds to a growing list of players who played big roles in Dallas’ past success but wouldn’t wear the star when they opened the season against the Bucs.

The team that went 12-5 last season before an early exit in the playoff game on the Wild Card Tour is worse since that disappointing loss to 49 players. I stress that they were not as good as their record initially suggested.

So, the +210 odds that Dallas miss the playoffs, you say? Yes, I will bite.

The Cowboys defense ranked 20th in allowed yards last season. The saving grace was an offense that led the league to scoring goals and the best turnover margin in the league. Even if they returned to the exact same team in 2022, that kind of luck was bound to run out. They don’t score top 26 interceptions in the league again because Trevon Diggs hasn’t intercepted 11 passes again. Unfortunately, they are no longer the same team.

Dallas allowed his second quarterback in sacks and QB, Randy Gregory, to leave for Denver and replace him with someone who has had fewer midfield hits in the past two seasons combined.

And this league-top attack may be where the Cowboys see their biggest drop. They traded best Amari Cooper widely to Cleveland, forcing CeeDee Lamb into a new role as the indisputable focal point of their cross attack. Maybe he can, maybe not. But new runner-up Michael Gallup continues to rehabilitate his torn ACL, and the depth chart after those two things is pretty bleak. Not to mention that Ezekiel Elliott has declined over the past several years.

Are you willing to put money on Mike McCarthy, who lost three consecutive seasons before last year, to make the most of a less talented roster?

If none of that sounded the alarm in Dallas, news of Smith’s injury is. His absence weakens an already shaky attacking line after the team also allowed La’el Collins to go off-season, and increases pressure on Dak Prescott to be the savior he wasn’t prepared to be.

All of this leads me to the odds of missing Dallas over the playoffs. While I think the Eagles are destined to win the NFC East, it makes sense to think that the Cowboys are still at least in the debate – and recent history will tell you that there are no seven teams in the conference better than them. But as they decline, other teams will inevitably improve. They can easily fall out of the separator picture.

This is the ideal situation for getting high odds on a team poised to fall short of expectations.

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